Bitcoin has to persist beyond the resistance zone and break past $47,000 to complete the Wyckoff accumulation setup.
Bitcoin started its downtrends in 2021 November. That was when a false breakout witnessed downtrends until a change of character by Wyckoff (a concept applicable in crude oil and gold) appeared in last 2022 January. The character change means the highest upside wave, overcoming the downward channel, which halted the downswing into a range.
BTC’s Wyckoff Accumulation Setup
Inside the $33,000 – $45,500 trading range, Bitcoin’s pullbacks in February and March this year saw a surging collection. Bitcoin produces a higher low despite the massive supply, suggesting supply absorption (according to Wyckoff law, efforts vs. results), where amplified supply (effort) fails to ensure a significant downside outcome.
Remember, the March reaction test printed a brief higher low amid reducing supply, meaning a successful move. A rally might emerge following a test with reducing of supply.
Bitcoin started the rally on March 14, 2022, breaking past the $45,530 resistance, then BU (backup action) testing the unfolding axis line. The rally is an SOS (sign of strength) whenever the BU commits beyond $44,000, where the breakout kicked off.
It’s vital to consider a bullish scenario after Wyckoff accumulation pattern completion (as the BU action is ongoing) and also a failure case by BTC. Meanwhile, a break past $48,000 will see BTC testing the upside target at $54,000, the area where the December 4, 2021 breakdown initiated.
Though the above tell-tale signals suggest bullishness for BTC, we need to consider the accumulation pattern valuation. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has to steady beyond $44,000. A break under this area plus surging supply and failure to climb back above would see BTC testing the closest support floor at $42,500, then $38,000.
BTC and Crypto Stocks for Swing Traders
You can invest in multiple cryptos and Bitcoin-related stocks for swing trading, taking advantage of Bitcoin strength instead of trading BTC. You can consider MicroStrategy (MSTR), Silvergate Capital (SI), Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA), and Riot Blockchain (RIOT).
These stocks have similar trends to BTC as they mimic Bitcoin’s performance. SI outshines the rest as its BU remains well beyond the resistance-flipped-support (axis line), followed by MSTD, then RIOT. Meanwhile, MARA could not break beyond the resistance.
These four BTC-associated stocks will likely climb to higher levels after Bitcoin completes the Wyckoff accumulation pattern.